Rothschild model: Trump in New Hampshire trails by a very clear margin

The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 29.0% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Historically, New Hampshire has been a swing state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. Hence, predictions in this state are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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