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Iowa: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead


The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 43.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Iowa.

Iowa is traditionally a swing state, where the Democratic and Republican candidates have historically achieved similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome here is considered important in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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