Pennsylvania: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 49.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Pennsylvania.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.