Rothschild model in Ohio: Trump with very clear lead

The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will receive 68.0% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%.

In Ohio, the election outcome is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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