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Ohio: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 48.7% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, while Trump will win 0.0%.

In Ohio, the election outcome is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly considered a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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