DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in North Dakota
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 63.1% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in North Dakota.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.