DeSart model in North Carolina: Trump with very clear lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in North Carolina.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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