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DeSart model in New Hampshire: Clinton with very clear lead

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 49.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in New Hampshire.

In New Hampshire, the popular vote is often decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly referred to as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, don't focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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