DeSart model in Nevada: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model's forecast is that Clinton will collect 49.0% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.
Nevada is traditionally a battleground state, where the Democratic and Republican candidates have often won similar voter support. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is considered crucial in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.