Jerome model in Florida: Clinton with very clear lead

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 49.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Florida.

Florida is traditionally a swing state, where the Democrats and the GOP have often won similar voter support. This is why the election outcome in that state is regarded crucial in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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