DeSart model in Ohio: Trump with very clear lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Ohio.

In Ohio, the election outcome is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly regarded as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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