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DeSart model: Trump in Colorado trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 49.7% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Colorado is traditionally a swing state, where the Democratic and Republican candidates have often gained similar voter support. This is why the election outcome in that state is viewed as critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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