North Dakota: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead
The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in North Dakota.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.