Jerome model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead
The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 56.2% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will win 0.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.