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Jerome model: Trump with very clear lead in Virginia


The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 55.7% of the two-party vote share in Virginia, while Trump will win 0.0%.

Virginia is traditionally a battleground state, where the candidates of both major parties have historically gained similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome in that state is considered critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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