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Jerome model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 45.8% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can contain large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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