Jerome model: Trump with very clear lead in South Carolina

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will garner 53.4% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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