Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead in Pennsylvania

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will receive 46.5% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.