Jerome model in New York: Clinton with very clear lead
The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 41.1% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in New York.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.