Maine: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 44.8% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.