Jerome model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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