Iowa: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 45.7% of the two-party vote share in Iowa, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Historically, Iowa has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions in this state are of particular interest.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often incorporate large biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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