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Jerome model: Trump with very clear lead in Indiana

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will obtain 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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