Jerome model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead
The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.4% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Georgia.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.