Jerome model: Trump in Delaware trails by a very clear margin

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.5% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Delaware.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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