Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead in Colorado

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.3% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Colorado.

Colorado is traditionally a purple state, where the Democrats and the GOP have historically gained similar levels of voter support. This is the reason why the election outcome here is viewed as crucial in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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