Arizona: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead
The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will receive 57.2% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they can contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.