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Jerome model: Clinton with clear lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 13.6% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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