Jerome model: Trump in New Hampshire trails by a very clear margin
The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 45.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in New Hampshire.
In New Hampshire, the election outcome is often close. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.