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Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead in Michigan

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will achieve 44.9% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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