Jerome model in California: Clinton with very clear lead
The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in California.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.