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Jerome model in California: Clinton with very clear lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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