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DeSart model: Trump in Iowa trails by a very clear margin

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 49.4% of the two-party vote share in Iowa, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Historically, Iowa has been a swing state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is why forecasts in this state are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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