Rothschild model in Florida: Trump is in the lead

The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 76.0% of the two-party vote share in Florida, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%.

In Florida, the popular vote is often decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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