DeSart model in Montana: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 59.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Montana.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.