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DeSart model: Trump in Maine trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 44.3% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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