DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Hawaii

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 29.9% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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