The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Florida.
Historically, Florida has been a swing state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts here are of particular interest.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.