DeSart model: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 42.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.