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New Rothschild model in Delaware: Trump and Clinton in a tossup


The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model's forecast is that Clinton will collect 1.0% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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