New Rothschild model in Delaware: Trump and Clinton in a tossup
The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model's forecast is that Clinton will collect 1.0% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.