Rothschild model in Arizona: Trump is in the lead

The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 99.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Arizona.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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