Wisconsin: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 60.0% for Clinton and 40.0% for Trump in Wisconsin.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Wisconsin sees Clinton at 53.1% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the Rothschild model Clinton's econometric model average is 6.9 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin, which is 6.3 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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