Wisconsin: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead

The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 60.0% for Clinton and 40.0% for Trump in Wisconsin.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can include large biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 6.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 6.9 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 6.3 percentage points more and Trump has 6.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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