The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will win 44.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, don't put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 2.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 2.0 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 1.4 percentage points more and Trump has 1.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Wisconsin.