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Wisconsin: Clinton and Trump virtually tied in latest DeSart model

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The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.2% for Clinton and 48.9% for Trump in Wisconsin.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 53.2% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Wisconsin. This value is 2.0 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin, which is 2.5 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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