The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.0% for Clinton and 54.0% for Trump in West Virginia.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may contain substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump can currently count on 60.4% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in West Virginia. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 6.4 percentage points higher.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia, which is 7.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.