Washington: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead

The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 95.0% for Clinton and 5.0% for Trump in Washington.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 40.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 40.9 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 39.9 percentage points more and Trump has 39.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Washington.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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