The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.8% for Clinton and 47.2% for Trump in Washington.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.3 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.3 percentage points.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 2.3 percentage points less and Trump has 2.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Washington.