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Tennessee: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 47.8% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, while Trump will end up with 52.2%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump is currently at 57.8% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Tennessee. Relative to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 5.6 percentage points better.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 56.1% of the two-party vote in Tennessee, which is 3.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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