Tennessee: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.7% for Clinton and 63.3% for Trump in Tennessee.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 5.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 5.6 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 7.2 percentage points less and Trump has 7.2 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Tennessee.