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South Dakota: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead


The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 43.0% for Clinton and 57.0% for Trump in South Dakota.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain substantial biases. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 2.6 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 2.6 percentage points.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 2.3 percentage points more and Trump has 2.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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