The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 43.0% for Clinton and 57.0% for Trump in South Dakota.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain substantial biases. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 2.6 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 2.6 percentage points.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 2.3 percentage points more and Trump has 2.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Dakota.